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        Elizabeth Nickson
        Saltspring Island, British Columbia

The folly of Kyoto:

To be a very great country, to be recognized universally as a player, one has to at some point have prosecuted a very great harm on the world. Canada has not yet done that. But in my dreamscape, we soon will, and our national character will be assured. We will no longer be thought of as second-rate and dull. We will be identified, in the Crime Against Humanity Stakes, as great soft socialist confidence artists.

I'd be very surprised, for instance, if some "great Canadian" isn't found elbow deep in the UN Oil for Food Scandal. We already know that Maurice Strong is the genius behind Kyoto. And Stephen Lewis is the Man of Compassion behind the AIDS in Africa effort. Already the statistics behind the AIDS in Africa crisis have been shown to be somewhat exaggerated. How much? By a factor of more than four. That's roughly how much death from AIDS in South Africa in 1999 was overstated. 250,000 has now been proven to be more like 65,000. And the terrific South African journalist Rian Malan recently combed through other estimates made by the UN AIDS crowd, tested them against the real numbers from AIDS clinics, banks, universities and prisons and found actual HIV infection to be only a fraction of the UN estimates. How is this possible? Computer model flawed. Computer model held to be more important than reality. UN Reality = Virtual Reality. Or, Virtual Reality = UN Reality = Our Reality.

Which brings me to Kyoto. Or, as I like to think of it: Kyoto ha ha ha. Based, too, on a UN computer model -- also profoundly flawed, but a model which has produced insane amounts of hysteria from the media and self-interested bureaucrats, enough hysteria to overturn history. It took 200 years for Newton's Theory of Gravity to turn into Newton's Law of Gravity. Einstein's 1904 Theory of Relativity is still considered a theory. Global warming caused by man, however, has been accepted in a few short years as Fact, Gospel and Doctrine. Those who question it are labelled extremists, and Canada alone has committed trillions of dollars to its implementation. Ready for gas that costs $5 a litre? Because that is the low estimate of what it will cost once Environment Minister David Anderson gets his plans up and running. That may be why the Liberal party is so quiet about its plans for Kyoto Canada, instead burping up wind power in in its platform. Windmills have already been shown to cause massive bird slaughter, and the sound causes cell structure to break down. Luckily there's little chance the Liberals will actually implement this promise of increased wind power, since they've only managed to erect one- quarter of the windmills they promised in the last election.

Promises not kept are usually not kept because they don't work. That's because, as climatologist Tim Ball says, "there's a huge well of common sense out there." Ball, who was the first Canadian to earn a Ph.D. in climatology (from the University of London), and one of the first climatology doctorates anywhere, travels the country lecturing on the bad science behind the global warming hysteria. "People don't believe the pro-Kyoto people and they don't believe the anti-Kyoto people," he says. "They have an attitude of 'wait and see'. My concern is that once Kyoto is shown to be the sham it is, they won't believe us on anything else. And there are real environmental concerns. Things, like water, that we must take care of soon."

However, summer is coming, which is generally hot, and is when most people worry most about the weather -- brought on, no doubt, by irresponsible hysterics like The New York Times. So let's add to that well of common sense.

The weather has always been extreme. There have always been tornadoes, floods and hurricanes, some years more than others. But Dr. Madhav Kandekar, retired from the propaganda mill that is Environment Canada, has studied the historical weather record and found that the number of extreme weather events is actually on the decline.

To expect slow incremental change in nature is not realistic. We move in and out of weather change, and it happens fast. From 1940 to 1980, we were in a cooling period -- the period, by the way, at which human industrial activity was at its peak, and at which point there was hysteria about global cooling. Now we are in a warming period. It is warming, but at less than 0.5C in the last hundred years. It feels hotter in the big cities because of the urban heat island effect.

The possibility that warming is caused by man is, literally, minute. Seventy- five per cent of weather is caused by the sun, and the sun's pattern of rotation is elliptical and dependent upon the tilt, both of which change. Ninety-seven per cent of the remaining 25% that makes up the so-called greenhouse effect is caused by water vapour, the remaining 3% by carbon dioxide and methane. There are between 750 and 770 gigatons of those in the atmosphere. Humans produce six gigatons. Crops (which love CO2) remove three gigatons. Which leaves human effect at .04%. Canada's share is 2% of .04%. We're going to cripple the economy for that?

On the other hand, turning the clock back to pre-industrial times would really put us on the map. Move over, Joe Stalin.



© 2004 Elizabeth Nickson
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